Projections

Population Projections

The current projections are considered preliminary as projections have more error as they move further from the most recent census (2010). We plan to revise our projections after the 2020 Census data is released. The current projections highlight expected changes based on recent trends. Future trends may be different due to the cyclical nature of migration (i.e. oil drilling) and due to policy changes that directly aim to impact migration or other components of population change. If you are in need of additional projection information (age groups, sex, etc.), please contact Dr. Jacqueline Miller, as these may be available.  

 

County

July 1, 2010 

July 1, 2020

2025

2030

2035

2040
Bernalillo 665,418 681,233 688,329 693,134 694,874 694,327
Catron 3,729 3,491 3,362 3,221 3,064 2,897
Chaves 65,747 64,670 64,016 63,132 61,960 60,586
Cibola 27,276 26,981 26,787 26,498 26,089 25,595
Colfax 13,738 11,752 10,712 9,621 8,480 7,313
Curry 48,440 50,521 51,514 52,343 52,943 53,367
De Baca 2,016 1,781 1,658 1,527 1,388 1,245
Doña Ana 209,941 218,971 223,282 226,879 229,484 231,331
Eddy 53,875 59,179 61,818 64,279 66,468 68,435
Grant 29,475 27,652 26,671 25,585 24,377 23,092
Guadalupe 4,686 4,330 4,141 3,934 3,709 3,472
Harding 692 677 668 657 643 627
Hidalgo 4,869 4,171 3,805 3,422 3,020 2,610
Lea 64,933 72,618 76,462 80,093 83,389 86,405
Lincoln 20,523 19,397 18,788 18,105 17,337 16,514
Los Alamos 17,935 18,765 19,164 19,501 19,753 19,941
Luna 25,093 24,300 23,854 23,320 22,678 21,963
McKinley 71,533 71,637 71,581 71,276 70,651 69,795
Mora 4,874 4,470 4,256 4,024 3,772 3,509
Otero 63,891 67,278 68,918 70,341 71,459 72,340
Quay 9,012 8,203 7,774 7,313 6,816 6,297
Rio Arriba 40,233 38,721 37,883 36,903 35,752 34,485
Roosevelt 19,828 19,331 19,045 18,689 18,248 17,747
Sandoval 132,535 147,069 154,322 161,141 167,281 172,862
San Juan 130,367 126,358 124,102 121,383 118,106 114,447
San Miguel 29,371 27,479 26,463 25,342 24,100 22,782
Santa Fe 144,555 150,488 153,311 155,641 157,291 158,420
Sierra 11,956 10,898 10,337 9,733 9,081 8,400
Socorro 17,906 16,969 16,460 15,887 15,240 14,544
Taos 33,008 32,795 32,635 32,360 31,938 31,412
Torrance 16,368 15,531 15,076 14,563 13,982 13,356
Union 4,558 4,073 3,818 3,546 3,256 2,956
Valencia 76,814 75,193 74,244 73,023 71,470 69,684
STATE Total 2,065,194 2,106,981 2,125,258 2,136,414 2,138,099 2,132,755

 

PDF XLSX KMZ gDB Shapefile

 

Age and Sex Projections

XLSX


 

Projections Methodology Statement