Population Projections
The current projections highlight expected changes based on recent trends. Future trends may be different due to the cyclical nature of migration (i.e. oil drilling) and due to policy changes that directly aim to impact migration or other components of population change. If you are in need of additional projection information, please contact Dr. Jacqueline Miller, as these may be available. Data up to 2050 available on PDF and Excel downloads.
County | 2010 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2045 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernalillo | 662,564 | 676,438 | 680,584 | 683,372 | 684,673 | 684,461 | 683,327 | 681,386 |
| Catron | 3,725 | 3,582 | 3,539 | 3,454 | 3,340 | 3,193 | 3,031 | 2,844 |
| Chaves | 65,645 | 65,158 | 64,822 | 64,303 | 63,626 | 62,740 | 61,669 | 60,380 |
| Cibola | 27,213 | 27,172 | 27,045 | 26,917 | 26,751 | 26,536 | 26,277 | 25,968 |
| Colfax | 13,750 | 12,385 | 11,859 | 11,156 | 10,275 | 9,170 | 7,930 | 6,511 |
| Curry | 48,376 | 48,429 | 48,474 | 48,504 | 48,524 | 48,532 | 48,531 | 48,523 |
| De Baca | 2,022 | 1,697 | 1,568 | 1,417 | 1,233 | 1,006 | 757 | 479 |
| Doña Ana | 209,233 | 219,567 | 224,218 | 228,058 | 230,554 | 231,449 | 231,167 | 229,861 |
| Eddy | 53,829 | 62,314 | 65,964 | 69,139 | 70,992 | 71,376 | 70,759 | 69,270 |
| Grant | 29,514 | 28,190 | 27,482 | 26,599 | 25,491 | 24,077 | 22,446 | 20,541 |
| Guadalupe | 4,687 | 4,451 | 4,326 | 4,179 | 3,996 | 3,762 | 3,492 | 3,177 |
| Harding | 695 | 655 | 646 | 624 | 596 | 560 | 519 | 471 |
| Hidalgo | 4,894 | 4,180 | 3,826 | 3,466 | 3,030 | 2,497 | 1,909 | 1,251 |
| Lea | 64,727 | 74,455 | 78,781 | 82,337 | 84,395 | 84,796 | 84,073 | 82,372 |
| Lincoln | 20,497 | 20,273 | 20,225 | 20,123 | 19,945 | 19,716 | 19,457 | 19,154 |
| Los Alamos | 17,950 | 19,418 | 19,857 | 20,439 | 20,791 | 20,883 | 20,793 | 20,545 |
| Luna | 25,095 | 25,422 | 25,500 | 25,593 | 25,658 | 25,687 | 25,689 | 25,668 |
| McKinley | 71,492 | 72,898 | 72,972 | 72,761 | 72,486 | 72,203 | 71,966 | 71,769 |
| Mora | 4,881 | 4,185 | 3,933 | 3,599 | 3,190 | 2,684 | 2,126 | 1,497 |
| Otero | 63,797 | 67,843 | 68,287 | 68,736 | 68,780 | 68,821 | 68,541 | 68,232 |
| Quay | 9,041 | 8,744 | 8,536 | 8,356 | 8,128 | 7,835 | 7,494 | 7,094 |
| Rio Arriba | 40,246 | 40,359 | 40,266 | 40,247 | 40,217 | 40,185 | 40,156 | 40,130 |
| Roosevelt | 19,846 | 19,197 | 19,095 | 18,986 | 18,712 | 18,421 | 18,012 | 17,578 |
| Sandoval | 131,561 | 148,829 | 157,468 | 164,648 | 169,117 | 170,460 | 169,575 | 166,753 |
| San Juan | 130,044 | 121,663 | 119,657 | 117,590 | 113,548 | 109,362 | 102,927 | 96,336 |
| San Miguel | 29,393 | 27,203 | 26,064 | 24,902 | 23,435 | 21,577 | 19,470 | 17,036 |
| Santa Fe | 144,170 | 154,823 | 160,347 | 164,754 | 167,424 | 168,148 | 167,499 | 165,656 |
| Sierra | 11,988 | 11,574 | 11,323 | 11,064 | 10735 | 10,313 | 9,825 | 9,252 |
| Socorro | 17,866 | 16,602 | 16,008 | 15,408 | 14,713 | 13992 | 13,188 | 12,350 |
| Taos | 32,937 | 34,488 | 35,367 | 35,949 | 36,300 | 36,391 | 36,299 | 36,048 |
| Torrance | 16,383 | 15,045 | 14,575 | 13,947 | 13,145 | 12,126 | 10,978 | 9,654 |
| Union | 4,549 | 4,083 | 3,895 | 3,709 | 3,444 | 3,178 | 2,898 | 2,614 |
| Valencia | 76,569 | 76,205 | 77,118 | 77,320 | 77,536 | 77,825 | 78,233 | 78,491 |
STATE | 2,059,179 | 2,117,527 | 2,143,658 | 2,161,645 | 2,164,780 | 2,153,964 | 2,131,015 | 2,098,886 |
- New Mexico Trends and Projections Slides [pdf]
- New Mexico County Projections (Total and by Age/Sex) [xlsx]
- New Mexico County Projections (Total and by Age/Sex) [pdf]
- New Mexico County Projections (Total by Sex) [shapefile.zip]
- Long Format New Mexico State Population Projections with codebook (by Age and Sex) [zip]
Suggested Citation:
University of New Mexico, Geospatial & Population Studies. NM Population Projections, 2023 – 2050. 2024.
